The New Saints vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 4
TNS
16%
22%
62%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
TNS
1 - 0
BAL
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
POR
1 - 5
TNS
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
TNS
2 - 0
CON
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 3
TNS
13%
19%
68%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 4
TNS
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 2
NEW
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
3 - 1
CEF
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CEF
2 - 1
POR
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CEF
1 - 5
ABE
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |