The New Saints vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
TNS
3 - 1
WEL
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
POR
0 - 0
TNS
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
AIR
1 - 0
TNS
19%
24%
58%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
TNS
3 - 0
NEA
67%
18%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
TNS
0 - 3
RHY
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
CEF
0 - 2
AIR
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
WEL
3 - 3
CEF
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
RHY
3 - 4
CEF
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
CEF
3 - 1
CAE
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
BAN
4 - 2
CEF
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |