The New Saints vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
RHY
0 - 0
TNS
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
LLA
1 - 2
TNS
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
TNS
3 - 0
POR
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
ABE
0 - 0
TNS
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
TNS
2 - 0
POR
71%
19%
11%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 2
CEF
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
CEF
0 - 1
LLA
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
CEF
2 - 3
RHY
16%
20%
64%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
CON
1 - 0
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
POR
3 - 0
CEF
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |