The New Saints vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
LLA
2 - 3
TNS
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
TNS
1 - 1
NEW
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
LID
0 - 6
TNS
42%
26%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
TNS
0 - 2
CAE
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 0
TNS
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
CEF
3 - 2
POR
51%
23%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
CEF
3 - 0
ABE
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
LLA
3 - 1
CEF
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
CEF
2 - 0
NEW
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
CON
4 - 1
CEF
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |