The New Saints vs Bryntirion Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 1
AIR
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
LID
3 - 1
TNS
9%
22%
69%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 4
BAN
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 1
TNS
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
TNS
4 - 2
LLA
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CWM
1 - 0
BRY
23%
22%
56%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CWM
1 - 3
BRY
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BRY
0 - 1
PON
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HAV
2 - 1
BRY
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AFC
3 - 1
BRY
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |