The New Saints vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
TNS
0 - 2
MID
23%
22%
55%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
LRI
1 - 1
TNS
55%
20%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
TNS
2 - 1
LRI
37%
21%
42%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
TNS
4 - 0
SHK
45%
22%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
SHK
5 - 0
TNS
46%
22%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 1
BAR
43%
27%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
PRE
0 - 0
BAR
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 3
BAR
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |