The New Saints vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TNS
4 - 2
AIR
58%
22%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
TNS
4 - 2
NEW
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
POR
1 - 3
TNS
27%
26%
48%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 0
BAL
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
TNS
21%
22%
57%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ABE
1 - 3
AIR
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NEW
3 - 3
ABE
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
ABE
2 - 2
POR
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ABE
1 - 1
AIR
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 3
ABE
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |