The New Saints vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 3
TNS
17%
21%
62%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 1
TNS
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 2
TNS
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
TNS
1 - 0
BAL
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
TNS
5 - 1
CON
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 0
AIR
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
ABE
4 - 1
PRE
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
3 - 1
ABE
56%
22%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 2
NEW
48%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
LID
0 - 0
ABE
38%
25%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |