The New Saints vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AIR
1 - 2
TNS
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 0
LID
87%
10%
3%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 3
TNS
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 0
NEA
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LLA
0 - 1
TNS
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
LID
0 - 0
ABE
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 3
PRE
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
AIR
1 - 1
ABE
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ABE
0 - 2
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ABE
0 - 4
BAL
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -2 |