The Lakes vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Lakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 3
TLA
22%
19%
59%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
TLA
3 - 2
BAY
50%
21%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 4
TLA
41%
22%
37%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
PIN
0 - 1
TLA
25%
20%
55%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TLA
0 - 2
GEO
45%
21%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 0
STO
27%
22%
51%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MGH
2 - 1
UNI
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
TOO
3 - 1
UNI
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GEO
3 - 0
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 2
ACA
27%
22%
51%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |