The Lakes vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
4.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Lakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
TOO
1 - 5
TLA
59%
19%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
TLA
3 - 2
GEO
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +3 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BAY
5 - 0
TLA
38%
22%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
TLA
1 - 1
ACA
87%
9%
5%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
TLA
1 - 9
BRI
31%
22%
47%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 1
MGH
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 3
STO
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
GAP
63%
19%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
WES
4 - 2
UNI
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 1
STO
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |