The Gap vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
47.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
GAP
2 - 4
BAY
9%
15%
77%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
5 - 2
GAP
84%
11%
6%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
GAP
0 - 2
GEO
8%
14%
78%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
WES
3 - 2
GAP
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
GAP
3 - 1
STO
32%
22%
46%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
TLA
5 - 2
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 0
STO
27%
22%
51%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MGH
2 - 1
UNI
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
TOO
3 - 1
UNI
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GEO
3 - 0
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |