The Gap vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GAP
2 - 1
ACA
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
BRK
4 - 1
GAP
34%
22%
45%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
GAP
1 - 2
VIR
51%
21%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
GEO
2 - 1
GAP
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
GRA
4 - 0
GAP
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
WOL
1 - 0
UNI
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
5 - 1
UNI
82%
12%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ALB
2 - 1
UNI
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NPI
0 - 2
UNI
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
UNI
4 - 0
RID
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | +1 |