The Gap vs St George Willawong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
78.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
WES
3 - 2
GAP
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
GAP
3 - 1
STO
32%
22%
46%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
GAP
2 - 6
TOO
13%
17%
71%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
GAP
1 - 4
PIN
27%
21%
52%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
WES
2 - 2
GAP
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
GEO
3 - 0
PIN
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GEO
3 - 0
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TLA
0 - 2
GEO
45%
21%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
GEO
1 - 1
STO
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
GEO
5 - 0
NFU
84%
11%
6%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | 0 |