The Belval Belvaux vs Union Mertert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
10º
3º
11
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Belval Belvaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BWI
2 - 0
TBB
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 2
TBB
54%
20%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
USS
0 - 2
TBB
63%
18%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TBB
2 - 3
SCH
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SYR
5 - 0
TBB
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UME
2 - 4
RSM
21%
19%
60%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UME
2 - 6
SCH
11%
15%
74%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SYR
2 - 1
UME
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UME
0 - 4
ESC
19%
18%
63%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RBE
3 - 3
UME
76%
15%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |