The Belval Belvaux vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
80.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Belval Belvaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LXC
1 - 4
TBB
39%
24%
38%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TBB
3 - 2
USS
47%
22%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 4
TBB
35%
23%
42%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
TBB
5 - 3
UKT
51%
21%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TBB
0 - 3
JEU
40%
24%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MON
0 - 6
SWI
16%
22%
62%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 1
RAC
61%
20%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 2
SWI
16%
21%
63%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SWI
1 - 1
WIL
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
SWI
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |