The Belval Belvaux vs Schengen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
58.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
10º
3º
54
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Belval Belvaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SYR
5 - 0
TBB
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TBB
2 - 2
ESC
40%
21%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RBE
3 - 0
TBB
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TBB
2 - 2
KOE
41%
21%
38%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 3
TBB
70%
17%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Schengen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
USS
1 - 2
SCH
24%
22%
54%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 0
SYR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 2
SCH
22%
20%
58%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 2
SCH
46%
23%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 3
RBE
76%
14%
10%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |