The Belval Belvaux vs Red Black Pfaffenthal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
10º
3º
38
8º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Belval Belvaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 4
TBB
25%
21%
54%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KOE
1 - 3
TBB
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
TBB
2 - 1
SPO
74%
15%
12%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TBB
2 - 1
CBG
39%
24%
38%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
URE
2 - 3
TBB
35%
22%
43%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Red Black Pfaffenthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RBE
0 - 1
SCH
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SYR
4 - 1
RBE
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RBE
5 - 1
ESC
48%
22%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RBE
1 - 3
USS
51%
21%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 3
RBE
43%
22%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |