The Belval Belvaux vs Koeppchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
10º
3º
63
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Belval Belvaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 3
TBB
70%
17%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RSM
6 - 2
TBB
38%
22%
41%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
TBB
3 - 1
SAN
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CBG
3 - 2
TBB
79%
14%
8%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TBB
6 - 0
UKT
30%
21%
50%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Koeppchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
KOE
2 - 3
SCH
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ORA
0 - 5
KOE
13%
17%
71%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SYR
0 - 1
KOE
38%
21%
42%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
KOE
0 - 0
ESC
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RBE
2 - 4
KOE
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |