Thatcham Town vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thatcham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
THA
0 - 4
BIN
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HAN
3 - 2
THA
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
CIN
0 - 1
THA
43%
24%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
UXB
2 - 0
THA
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
THA
1 - 2
LEA
25%
23%
52%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HAD
0 - 0
AFD
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BIS
2 - 3
AFD
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
EDT
1 - 0
AFD
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AFD
2 - 2
EDT
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
AFD
3 - 0
HIG
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |