Thaon vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SAI
2 - 0
THA
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 1
THA
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
THA
0 - 5
TRO
26%
24%
50%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
PON
5 - 1
THA
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
THA
3 - 1
BSU
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ILL
3 - 1
AMN
19%
23%
58%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
COL
1 - 2
ILL
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ILL
2 - 2
NAN
19%
22%
58%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ILL
0 - 3
MET
23%
25%
53%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 3
ILL
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |