Thaon vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
61.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
THA
0 - 4
MAR
2%
14%
84%
|
24 | 85 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
BAS
0 - 1
FCG
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
FCG
4 - 2
BRE
40%
30%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
ASF
1 - 5
FCG
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCG
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
FCG
0 - 1
CAE
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |