Thaon vs Biesheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
7º
5º
55
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
THA
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
THA
1 - 0
ILL
85%
11%
5%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RCE
0 - 1
THA
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
THA
0 - 0
CHA
78%
14%
9%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
JAR
2 - 2
THA
10%
15%
75%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Biesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BIE
2 - 0
ILL
85%
11%
5%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
BIE
17%
19%
63%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BIE
2 - 1
NAN
57%
22%
22%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 1
BIE
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BIE
1 - 1
RAO
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |