Thader vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CAS
3 - 0
THA
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
THA
1 - 1
OND
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 0
THA
51%
25%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
THA
2 - 1
BEN
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
POL
0 - 2
THA
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
PEG
1 - 0
VAL
21%
26%
53%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ELD
4 - 0
PEG
70%
20%
11%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
PEG
1 - 0
JOV
54%
24%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PEG
1 - 0
SPR
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
PEG
1 - 1
CRE
50%
25%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |