Thader vs Mutxamel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
THA
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
THA
3 - 1
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 2
THA
58%
21%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
THA
3 - 1
SPO
30%
27%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
JAV
2 - 2
THA
40%
27%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mutxamel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MUX
1 - 2
ALB
25%
24%
51%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
HOR
5 - 0
MUX
84%
10%
5%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MUX
1 - 3
ALI
29%
25%
46%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
MUX
1 - 2
JAV
27%
24%
49%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BEN
0 - 0
MUX
43%
24%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |