Thader vs Mutxamel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
POL
4 - 0
THA
48%
26%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 3
THA
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
ALT
1 - 1
THA
55%
25%
21%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ALC
0 - 1
THA
47%
26%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
THA
1 - 0
ASP
66%
20%
15%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mutxamel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ALB
0 - 2
MUX
29%
25%
46%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
MUX
0 - 0
JOV
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 0
MUX
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MUX
2 - 1
ALG
38%
24%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ALF
2 - 3
MUX
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |