Thader vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.3%
9.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
ALM
2 - 2
THA
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
THA
3 - 2
LOR
72%
15%
13%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
ALM
3 - 2
THA
61%
18%
21%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
THA
4 - 1
CAL
62%
18%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
MIN
2 - 1
THA
69%
16%
15%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
ASP
4 - 2
HEL
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
AGU
8 - 1
ASP
81%
12%
8%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
ASP
0 - 3
ORI
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
CFC
9 - 0
ASP
91%
6%
3%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
ASP
0 - 2
IMP
34%
24%
43%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |