Thackley vs Hemsworth MW analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
25%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thackley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
KNA
0 - 0
THA
52%
21%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
THA
4 - 6
BAR
28%
21%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 1
THA
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SHC
3 - 0
THA
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
THA
0 - 1
HAN
17%
18%
65%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Hemsworth MW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
HEM
1 - 1
HAN
11%
15%
74%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
HEM
7 - 2
ALB
28%
21%
51%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
HEM
2 - 2
AFC
20%
20%
61%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MAL
4 - 1
HEM
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 0
HEM
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |