Thackley vs AFC Mansfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
66.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thackley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
THA
3 - 2
AFC
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
MAL
2 - 2
THA
82%
12%
7%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
4 - 0
THA
78%
14%
9%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
THA
3 - 0
ATH
84%
10%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
ECC
2 - 1
THA
82%
11%
6%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Mansfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAN
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 2
BOT
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
SIL
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
HAN
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 0
MAN
13%
18%
69%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -2 |