Texoma FC vs AV Alta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
67.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+788%
+2535%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
13º
13º
25
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
25 | 55 |
1º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 51 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 51 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 50 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 50 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 41 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 40 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 33 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 28 |
13º
|
51% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 77% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 23% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Texoma FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
CRW
1 - 1
TFC
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
TFC
0 - 1
PHP
37%
22%
41%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
TFC
2 - 0
FMA
19%
23%
58%
|
19 | 61 | 42 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
SPV
1 - 1
TFC
84%
11%
6%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
TFC
3 - 2
CHA
21%
24%
55%
|
18 | 63 | 45 | +1 |
Matches
AV Alta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
OKS
3 - 1
AVA
60%
22%
17%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
AVA
2 - 1
OMA
22%
25%
54%
|
36 | 74 | 38 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
PHP
0 - 2
AVA
19%
19%
62%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
AVA
4 - 1
NAP
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
AVA
1 - 1
PHP
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |