Teteks vs Novaci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
15º
15º
34
4º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Teteks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 0
TET
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TET
2 - 1
OSO
74%
15%
11%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
POB
5 - 1
TET
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
BES
4 - 1
TET
49%
22%
30%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
KGE
3 - 1
TET
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Novaci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 4
BES
21%
25%
54%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PEL
4 - 0
NOV
83%
13%
5%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 0
ARE
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +6 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
2 - 1
NOV
11%
15%
74%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 2
TIK
11%
18%
71%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | -2 |