Tesorillo vs Aljaraque CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tesorillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
UDT
2 - 1
BAR
15%
22%
63%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
JER
0 - 0
UDT
75%
17%
8%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
UDT
2 - 2
CHI
18%
24%
58%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 0
UDT
70%
18%
12%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
UDT
0 - 0
ARC
19%
23%
58%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aljaraque CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
OVA
3 - 1
ALJ
70%
18%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ALJ
0 - 1
ALG
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ALJ
0 - 2
BCA
36%
25%
39%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CCF
2 - 0
ALJ
52%
22%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ALJ
1 - 2
UDR
48%
24%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |