Ternesse vs Herselt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
94%
Win probability
3.89
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.5%
6-0
6.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
8.2%
5-0
10.2%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.1%
4-0
13.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.7%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
4.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
4.5%
1.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
8º
5º
9
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ANT
4 - 1
TER
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
DEK
4 - 0
TER
41%
22%
37%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
TER
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
TER
0 - 3
KFC
84%
10%
5%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TER
2 - 0
VOS
63%
18%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Herselt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HER
0 - 4
GBA
4%
9%
87%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 4
BED
4%
11%
85%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SKS
2 - 1
HER
90%
8%
3%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
HER
0 - 5
DEK
5%
11%
84%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BER
5 - 0
HER
90%
8%
3%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | -1 |