Ternana U19 vs Viterbese Castrense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
77.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
16º
15º
31
1º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
79% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
16º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BEN
3 - 1
TER
85%
10%
4%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TER
0 - 2
PIS
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CCS
1 - 0
TER
76%
14%
9%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TER
1 - 1
SPE
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
TER
1 - 3
USV
12%
16%
72%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Viterbese Castrense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 3
USV
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
USV
1 - 1
BEN
54%
21%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
USV
40%
22%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
USV
0 - 5
PES
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CRO
1 - 0
USV
17%
18%
65%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -2 |