Ternana U19 vs Perugia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
16º
15º
37
4º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
79% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
16º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TER
4 - 2
ASC
9%
16%
75%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 0
TER
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TER
0 - 2
SAL
18%
20%
62%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CRO
1 - 0
TER
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TER
0 - 1
USV
8%
14%
77%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PER
2 - 1
SAL
65%
18%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
ASC
3 - 1
PER
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PER
2 - 1
CCS
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
PES
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MNP
1 - 0
PER
39%
23%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |