Ternana Calcio vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
0 - 0
TER
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
REG
1 - 0
TER
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
TER
0 - 0
SIC
78%
16%
7%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
TER
2 - 0
CAT
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MON
0 - 0
TER
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FRA
1 - 1
AVE
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 0
FRA
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FRA
2 - 0
PAG
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
REG
1 - 2
FRA
64%
22%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |