Ternana Calcio vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CES
4 - 3
TER
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
TER
2 - 2
SAL
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
EMP
2 - 1
TER
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 1
TER
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
TER
4 - 3
LEO
51%
27%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
ACD
0 - 1
SPE
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ACD
1 - 2
USF
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
PRG
2 - 0
ACD
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2017 |
ACD
2 - 1
NOV
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
FRO
4 - 3
ACD
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |