Ternana Calcio vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
REG
1 - 1
TER
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TER
0 - 2
VER
25%
28%
48%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
TER
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
TER
1 - 3
SAS
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 3
BAR
19%
26%
55%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
JUS
2 - 1
VIR
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 1
VIR
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
LIV
18%
26%
57%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VER
2 - 0
VIR
74%
19%
8%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |