Ternana Calcio vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TER
3 - 0
BAR
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 0
TER
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TER
2 - 0
NOV
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 1
TER
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
TER
2 - 3
LIV
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LAT
2 - 1
PRG
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PRG
0 - 0
ACD
61%
24%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 0
PRG
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PRG
0 - 0
CES
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 0
PRG
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |