Ternana Calcio vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
TER
4 - 1
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
TER
2 - 1
PIC
73%
18%
10%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
USV
1 - 1
TER
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
TER
0 - 1
AVE
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
BIS
0 - 1
TER
15%
21%
64%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
PIC
2 - 0
PAG
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 2
USV
39%
25%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TER
2 - 1
PAG
50%
25%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PAG
3 - 1
AVE
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
PAG
1 - 1
REG
27%
28%
45%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |