Ternana Calcio vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
LEC
1 - 1
TER
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
TER
2 - 1
FOL
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
PAD
1 - 1
TER
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
TER
2 - 0
VER
43%
29%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PRO
2 - 1
TER
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
UNI
5 - 0
PAG
59%
25%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 1
NOV
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
FOL
0 - 0
PAG
61%
24%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
PAG
0 - 1
USF
31%
28%
42%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PAD
2 - 0
PAG
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |