Ternana Calcio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CRO
0 - 1
TER
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TER
0 - 0
EMP
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
TER
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
TER
0 - 0
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 2
TER
62%
24%
14%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 6
NOV
35%
28%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
VER
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
JUS
2 - 4
NOV
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
CES
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
EMP
0 - 2
NOV
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |