Ternana Calcio vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+108%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 0
TER
51%
27%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
TER
3 - 0
FON
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
TER
0 - 2
FOL
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
BEN
3 - 1
TER
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
TER
2 - 0
SSB
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
NOC
2 - 1
NUO
22%
26%
52%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2010 |
BEN
0 - 3
NOC
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | +3 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 3
NOC
78%
15%
6%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
NOC
1 - 0
ASA
20%
27%
54%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SIR
2 - 0
NOC
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |