Ternana Calcio vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 0
TER
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TER
1 - 0
TRA
35%
28%
38%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 0
TER
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
TER
1 - 1
VIR
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CES
4 - 0
TER
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 1
AVE
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
VIC
2 - 1
MOD
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
MOD
3 - 0
NOV
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
PES
1 - 0
MOD
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
MOD
2 - 0
SAL
46%
28%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |