Ternana Calcio vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
TER
1 - 0
COS
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ASC
2 - 0
TER
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
PIA
2 - 0
TER
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
TER
1 - 1
VNZ
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 2
TER
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
ANC
2 - 1
MES
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
MES
2 - 1
VER
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
GEN
1 - 1
MES
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
MES
3 - 1
VIC
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
ASC
1 - 0
MES
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |