Ternana Calcio vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
LEC
3 - 2
TER
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
TER
1 - 0
USC
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
RAV
0 - 2
TER
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
TER
2 - 2
PES
32%
26%
43%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
NAP
1 - 0
TER
76%
17%
7%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
USC
1 - 2
ASL
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
ASL
2 - 1
TRE
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
LEC
1 - 0
ASL
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
ASL
2 - 2
ATL
25%
28%
47%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
TOR
2 - 1
ASL
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |