Ternana Calcio vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
ATL
1 - 0
TER
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
TER
2 - 1
TOR
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
COS
1 - 1
TER
64%
22%
15%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
TER
0 - 0
REG
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
GEN
3 - 2
TER
84%
12%
4%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
GEN
1 - 3
RAV
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
GEN
0 - 1
PAR
26%
29%
45%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 2
GEN
28%
29%
44%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
GEN
0 - 1
LEC
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
PAR
3 - 0
GEN
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |