Ternana Calcio vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
42.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 2
TER
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TER
1 - 0
PES
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 2
TER
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TER
0 - 0
LAT
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PRG
1 - 0
TER
53%
27%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 0
VIR
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 0
CRO
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CRO
4 - 2
PES
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
3 - 0
CRO
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CRO
2 - 0
ASC
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |