Ternana Calcio vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 0
TER
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
TER
1 - 0
MOD
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 1
TER
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
TER
0 - 1
VIR
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
FRO
0 - 1
TER
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ACD
1 - 1
CRO
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
CRO
2 - 0
FRO
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
CRO
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 1
LEO
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 2
CRO
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |