Ternana Calcio vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
52.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TRA
3 - 0
TER
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
TER
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
TER
2 - 0
BV5
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
TER
2 - 0
VAR
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 2
TER
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
CAG
4 - 0
CRO
70%
18%
11%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
CAG
3 - 1
OLB
90%
8%
2%
|
79 | 38 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
HSV
4 - 1
CAG
45%
28%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 1
CAG
31%
26%
44%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CAG
5 - 0
ACD
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |